David Holmgren

Future Scenarios 2008 - Revisited

holmgren.com.au

In essence permaculture is a design system for regenerative land use and resilient living. It's also of course based on universal ethics and design principles but the strategies and techniques vary enormously with the context.

En substance, la permaculture est un système de conception pour une utilisation régénératrice des terres et une vie résiliente. Bien entendu, elle repose également sur des principes universels d'éthique et de conception, mais les stratégies et les techniques varient énormément en fonction du contexte.

Visio-conférence donnée le 4 oct 2020

Extraits

Environmental Crisis, Plus

Extrait: « Corporate scandals and criminal economies, arguably we could say, these are actually a large part, perhaps the dominant part, of the global economy »

Source: https://tube.aquilenet.fr/w/29QnuvgjoyoFpiRyTEoXzx

Synergy of strong central governement with corportate power : Fascisme

Transcript: « ...but in fact when I looked at things, progressively, I saw that the main thing that was happening, was, Society was shifting rapidly away from a sort of so-called free market mechanisms, to a command economy, where governments start mandating what happens, but to do that they need the economic and Technical power of global corporations. And so, this Synergy of strong central government and corporate power, was coming to the fall, and of course the technical description for that which Mussolini defined, was fascism. »

Source: https://tube.aquilenet.fr/w/e2nXvFhMAvRWQTkywooBGb

International order breaking down - WW3 : OCDE vs National sovereignty

Transcript: « When the International order that allows trade to occur, where there is a dominant hegemonic power behind that, I think it's really important to understand that there's been a hard fist in that over the last 50 years, of smashed countries that have got out of line with what that International order is, along with all the positive aspects of it. And that is now breaking down, and clearly I think we are in the equivalent of the third world war.

And that that war is between the global power represented primarily in the OECD countries, but especially in the United States and in Europe, and new alliances which are forming with countries in a multi-polar world, which although they have very different views about things, they all have strong views about National sovereignty to determine their own circumstances. »

Source: https://tube.aquilenet.fr/w/qgaWC8rct4hdM3HrZXSvDo

Dark because no respect for difference in globalist view of the world

Transcript: « I see that those changes are coming very fast and the ability to hold together the International System lead in America is actually breaking down. And I think that's going to be sort of particularly dark, but not because the breakdown from International systems could not be otherwise.

But the re-emergence of respect for difference is a key permaculture principle which has actually been lacking in the globalist view of the world.

There is actually one way to do things and then cultures are some local artifacts that exist, like local landscape. And in fact local landscape and local cultures will actually reassert themselves. But it is possible that that could be with a greater tolerance and respect for difference, different ways of doing things. It's not certain, in any means, but I think that is possible. »

Source: https://tube.aquilenet.fr/w/24uAgNhtCUPxys1skoSNHJ

Vidéo complète - 35 chapitres - 1h42

Chapitres
0:00 Intro - Sébastien Marot 7:16 Intro - David Holmgren 7:55 Melliodora 2019 - EPFL Lausanne Oct 2022 9:56 Future Scenarios 2008 - Revisited 11:00 What Is Permaculture? 12:22 Environmental Crisis, Plus 13:52 Limits to Growth (1972) - World 3 model simulation 15:10 Humanity's Future? 22:07 What Is Energy Descent? 23:48 What will our future look like? 24:33 Climate Change and Peak Oil drive Energy Descent Scenarios 26:17 GreenTech 28:33 Brown Tech 31:00 Earth Steward 33:02 Lifeboats 35:08 Confusion of Realms 36:46 Opportunities from energy descent 39:16 Scenario probabilities 41:16 History from the future - a prosperous way down 41:45 Nested Scenarios (by scale of related system) 44:04 Brasilia 44:33 Agriculture and Architecture - Taking the Country's Side - Scenari Incorporation 46:06 Scenario Infiltration 47:33 Scenario Integration 48:49 Scenario Secession 49:28 Resources from holmgren.com.au 50:47 Questions 51:48 Pandemic teaching about BrownTech scenario onset 1:01:09 Bottom-up initiative support 1:08:02 Urban planners 1:14:15 Internationalism shift to more lower centers if identity 1:20:38 Nature's design solutions : aware of limits 1:28:13 No more traditionnal city? 1:33:05 Bio-region 1:40:09 Conclusion