holmgren.com.au

Future Scenarios 2008 - Revisited
In essence permaculture is a design system for regenerative land use and resilient living. It's also of course based on universal ethics and design principles but the strategies and techniques vary enormously with the context.

En substance, la permaculture est un système de conception pour une utilisation régénératrice des terres et une vie résiliente. Bien entendu, elle repose également sur des principes universels d'éthique et de conception, mais les stratégies et les techniques varient énormément en fonction du contexte.

Visio-conférence donnée le 4 oct 2020

Extraits

Environmental Crisis, Plus

Extrait
« Corporate scandals and criminal economies, arguably we could say, these are actually a large part, perhaps the dominant part, of the global economy »
Source
https://tube.aquilenet.fr/w/29QnuvgjoyoFpiRyTEoXzx

Synergy of strong central governement with corportate power : Fascisme

Transcript
« ...but in fact when I looked at things, progressively, I saw that the main thing that was happening, was, Society was shifting rapidly away from a sort of so-called free market mechanisms, to a command economy, where governments start mandating what happens, but to do that they need the economic and Technical power of global corporations. And so, this Synergy of strong central government and corporate power, was coming to the fall, and of course the technical description for that which Mussolini defined, was fascism. »
Source
https://tube.aquilenet.fr/w/e2nXvFhMAvRWQTkywooBGb


International order breaking down - WW3 : OCDE vs National sovereignty

Transcript
« when the International order that allows trade to occur where there is a dominant hegemonic power behind that I think it's really important to understand that there's been a hard fist in that over the last 50 years of smashed countries that have got out of line with what that International order is, along with all the positive aspects of it and that that is now breaking down and clearly I think we are in the equivalent of the third world war and that that war is between the global power represented primarily in the OECD countries but especially in the United States and in Europe and new alliances which are forming with countries in a multi-polar world which although they have very different views about things, they all have strong views about National sovereignty to determine their own circumstances »
Source
https://tube.aquilenet.fr/w/qgaWC8rct4hdM3HrZXSvDo

Vidéo complète - 35 chapitres - 1h42

Chapitres
0:00 Intro - Sébastien Marot

7:16 Intro - David Holmgren

7:55 Melliodora 2019 - EPFL Lausanne Oct 2022

9:56 Future Scenarios 2008 - Revisited

11:00 What Is Permaculture?

12:22 Environmental Crisis, Plus

13:52 Limits to Growth (1972) - World 3 model simulation

15:10 Humanity's Future?

22:07 What Is Energy Descent?

23:48 What will our future look like?

24:33 Climate Change and Peak Oil drive Energy Descent Scenarios

26:17 GreenTech

28:33 Brown Tech

31:00 Earth Steward

33:02 Lifeboats

35:08 Confusion of Realms

36:46 Opportunities from energy descent

39:16 Scenario probabilities

41:16 History from the future - a prosperous way down

41:45 Nested Scenarios (by scale of related system)

44:04 Brasilia

44:33 Agriculture and Architecture - Taking the Country's Side - Scenari Incorporation

46:06 Scenario Infiltration

47:33 Scenario Integration

48:49 Scenario Secession

49:28 Resources from holmgren.com.au

50:47 Questions

51:48 Pandemic teaching about BrownTech scenario onset

1:01:09 Bottom-up initiative support

1:08:02 Urban planners

1:14:15 Internationalism shift to more lower centers if identity

1:20:38 Nature's design solutions : aware of limits

1:28:13 No more traditionnal city?

1:33:05 Bio-region

1:40:09 Conclusion

Copies d'écran

 
This Green and Pleasant Apocalypse: Graham Oakley’s ‘Henry’s Quest’ (1986)

Ressources externes communes